Conf = PAC
Nickname = PA Gators Coach = Jeff RoberGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.7920532 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Ohio Northern OAC (13- 6, 87.3) 5-18 228 H Mount Union OAC ( 6-11, 79.1) 10- 6 306 A Shenandoah ODAC (12- 7, 87.1) 3-10 309 A Bridgewater ODAC ( 6-11, 83.3) 13- 8 320 H Wooster NCAC (11- 7, 87.8) 9-11 324 A Alfred Empire 8 (10- 5, 87.0) 8-14 328 H Washington & Jefferson PAC ( 3-11, 69.9) 17- 7 330 H Adrian MIAA ( 8- 8, 84.2) 8-13 403 A Thiel PAC ( 3-11, 67.3) 23- 9 406 H Westminster (PA) PAC (10- 8, 80.9) 18-11 410 A Bethany PAC ( 4-10, 69.4) 22- 8 413 A St Vincent PAC ( 8- 9, 83.3) 14-12 417 H Chatham PAC ( 9- 8, 82.2) 11- 8 420 A Grove City PAC (15- 5, 92.8) 6-22 427 H Franciscan PAC (10- 7, 75.9) 23- 5 501 H St Vincent PAC ( 8- 9, 83.3) 16-12 504 A Grove City PAC (15- 5, 92.8) 9-27
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Ohio Northern 5-18 -13 -4 - -2.90 228 H Mount Union 10- 6 4 5 -1.47 306 A Shenandoah 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.10 309 A Bridgewater 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.11 320 H Wooster 9-11 -2 -3 1.25 324 A Alfred 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.24 328 H Washington & Jefferson 17- 7 10 14 0.00 330 H Adrian 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.39 403 A Thiel 23- 9 14 15 0.00 406 H Westminster (PA) 18-11 7 3 + 3.29 410 A Bethany 22- 8 14 13 0.00 413 A St Vincent 14-12 2 0 + 2.13 417 H Chatham 11- 8 3 2 0.62 420 A Grove City 6-22 -16 -9 0.00 427 H Franciscan 23- 5 18 8 0.00 501 H St Vincent 16-12 4 1 + 2.72 504 A Grove City 9-27 -18 -9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Adrian 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.39 224 A Ohio Northern 5-18 -13 -4 - -2.90 306 A Shenandoah 3-10 -7 -3 - -3.10 324 A Alfred 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Bridgewater 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.11 406 H Westminster (PA) 18-11 7 3 + 3.29 413 A St Vincent 14-12 2 0 + 2.13 501 H St Vincent 16-12 4 1 + 2.72
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 83.89 Power Rank................. 122 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 61.77 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 138 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5819 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 104 RPI Rating............... .5258 RPI Rank................... 97 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 35 Selection sum ........... 293 Selection Rank ............ 93 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -125. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 98 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -115. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 92 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3